Dome as Prediction Market Infrastructure

This is a classic aggregator network effect, where every new venue makes Dome better for every existing app built on top of it. A developer integrates once, then gets more markets, more historical data, and more executable liquidity as Dome adds Polymarket, Kalshi, and niche exchanges. That means the product becomes harder to replace over time, because switching away would mean rebuilding routing, market matching, and analytics across a growing set of fragmented APIs.

• The utility gain is concrete. Dome matches equivalent contracts across platforms, combines visible depth, and routes orders to the best venue. For a trader or app, one Bulls Lakers market can effectively become the summed liquidity of several books instead of one thin order book.
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• The effect depends on fragmentation, and the category is moving that way. Prediction markets are spreading across crypto, sports, and local geographies, while major distribution platforms like Robinhood, Coinbase, DraftKings, and FanDuel are launching their own products. More endpoints create more value for a unifying layer.
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• This looks more like infrastructure businesses such as Plaid or Alchemy than a consumer marketplace. The customer does not come for Dome alone, they come because Dome removes the work of learning each venue's schema, auth, latency quirks, and execution path, then keeps improving as coverage expands.
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If prediction markets keep splintering by region, category, and interface, the winning infrastructure layer will be the one that becomes the default pipe into all of them. That pushes Dome toward a stronger position with builders, market makers, and embedded apps, because each added integration widens the moat for every product already running through its unified interface.